How the deploy signal works

It answers one question: is right now a good time to put money into an LP position — or not?

It works by comparing two numbers for the pool you're looking at. First, what the pool is currently paying — the fees you'd earn, based on real trading volume over the past week. Second, what the bouncing is likely to cost you — every LP position quietly loses a little money versus just holding whenever the price moves around, and the more volatile the market, the bigger that cost. (That's impermanent loss.)

If the expected fees beat the expected cost, the signal says DEPLOY. If it's close, WIDEN — use a wider range, which earns less but bleeds less. If the cost outruns the fees at every width, it says SIT OUT— because sometimes the honest answer is that LPing just doesn't pay right now, and no dashboard that wants you to keep clicking will tell you that.

There's also a timing layer. We tested five years of market history and found something counterintuitive: the best time to deploy is usually aftera strong trend, not during calm markets — because calm tends to come right before the market breaks out and runs over tight positions. The signal checks which situation you're in before giving a verdict.

Every verdict shows you the math behind it — the fee estimate, the cost estimate, and how often that verdict has been right historically. Never a black box, and never financial advice: it's a weather report, not an order. You decide.

Calibration details are on the methodology page. Historical simulation — past performance does not predict future results. Not financial advice.